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Curitiba: Samuel Heredia vs Juan Sebastian Osorio

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $36.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1KEvent: Curitiba: Samuel Heredia vs Juan Sebastian Osorio
54.5¢
Samuel Heredia
45.5¢
Juan Sebastian Osorio
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets96Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution81Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:39 trades$14.8K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Juan Sebastian Osorio · $2.3K net·5 wallets·$2.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSamuel Heredia$6.2K@ 57¢·askilika

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$208
6h
+$9.0K
tracked
$14.8K

5 verified profitable wallets: Juan Sebastian Osorio · $2.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 90% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-05 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Samuel Heredia and Juan Sebastian Osorio in the Curitiba, Brazil, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Heredia' if Samuel Heredia advances against Juan Sebastian Osorio. This market will resolve to 'Juan Sebastian Osorio' if Juan Sebastian Osorio advances against Samuel Heredia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Juan Sebastian Osorio UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $2.0K → $5.5K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Samuel Heredia; negative values favor Juan Sebastian Osorio. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJuan Sebastian Osorio · $208
6hSamuel Heredia · $9.0K
24hSamuel Heredia · $9.0K

Samuel Heredia price VWAP

Volume-weighted Samuel Heredia price. Juan Sebastian Osorio fills are converted to the complementary Samuel Heredia probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current54.5¢
VWAP 24h59.8¢▼ below by 5.3pp
VWAP 7d59.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Samuel Heredia price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$55
80¢
$50
75¢
$2.7K
70¢
$14
65¢
$132
60¢
$0
55¢
$6.5K
50¢
← now
$5.1K
45¢
$289
40¢
$5
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

askilikaSamuel Heredia$11.2K
BUY VWAP 55.8¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.