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Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $494.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $142.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Nemiga (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
0.1¢
FOKUS
100.0¢
Nemiga
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets3Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:35 trades$7.8K trackedsource coverage 6%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nemiga · $31 net·2 wallets·$688 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNemiga$1.9K@ 100¢·Buenashg

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$326
6h
+$6.9K
tracked
$7.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: Nemiga · $31 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-28 17:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win Map 2 against Nemiga.

•This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win Map 2 against FOKUS.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between FOKUS and Nemiga in the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win Map 2 against Nemiga. This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win Map 2 against FOKUS. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 28, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x299f…2c502 linked markets · $129 gross
0x9307…9da32 linked markets · $15 gross
jackinv1lvl22 linked markets · $8 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Nemiga UP 11.0pp · near-book depth $144 → $206 · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FOKUS; negative values favor Nemiga. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFOKUS · $326
6hFOKUS · $6.9K
24hFOKUS · $6.9K

FOKUS price VWAP

Volume-weighted FOKUS price. Nemiga fills are converted to the complementary FOKUS probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h7.0¢▼ below by 7.0pp
VWAP 7d7.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FOKUS price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$6
65¢
$357
60¢
$144
55¢
$1
50¢
$169
45¢
$223
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$2
20¢
$49
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$6.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.