Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck

● quote 46s ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $17.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $113.9KEvent: Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck
97.7¢
Hugo Grenier
2.4¢
Carl Overbeck
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0direction0wallets100execution83priority0data 59%💡 5 smart
24h sample:73 trades$38.8K trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 98 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hugo Grenier · $13.0K net·5 wallets·$13.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCarl Overbeck$7.0K@ 50¢·askilika

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$671
tracked
$38.8K

5 verified profitable wallets: Hugo Grenier · $13.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 98 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-06 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Carl Overbeck in the Porto 2, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Carl Overbeck. This market will resolve to 'Carl Overbeck' if Carl Overbeck advances against Hugo Grenier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Hugo Grenier UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $19.6K → $50.9K · 13s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

1hHugo Grenier · $0
6hCarl Overbeck · $671
24hCarl Overbeck · $4.1K

Hugo Grenier price VWAP

Current97.7¢
VWAP 24h72.4¢▲ above by 25.3pp
VWAP 7d72.4¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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Hugo Grenier price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$9.7K
90¢
$3.0K
85¢
$0
80¢
$766
75¢
$2.2K
70¢
$1.6K
65¢
$5.7K
60¢
$0
55¢
$7.6K
50¢
$8.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.