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LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 Winner

● quote 20 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $681.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $435.8KEvent: LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs
99.9¢
Solary
0.1¢
DN SOOPers Challengers
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets94Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:219 trades$140.1K trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 64 min agoofficial metadata 22 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Solary · $13.7K net·9 wallets·$14.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSolary$18.3K@ 100¢·Lucas1tb

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

DN SOOPers Challengers pressure: $8.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$8.6K
6h
−$535
tracked
$140.1K

9 verified profitable wallets: Solary · $13.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +5.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 20 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 64 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from DN SOOPers Challengers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-30 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win Game 3 against DN SOOPers Challengers.

•This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers Challengers" if DN SOOPers Challengers win Game 3 against Solary.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 1 match between Solary and DN SOOPers Challengers in the World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win Game 3 against DN SOOPers Challengers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers Challengers" if DN SOOPers Challengers win Game 3 against Solary. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 30, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lucas1tb2 linked markets · $32.3K gross
agent23 linked markets · $25.3K gross
five51202 linked markets · $21.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Solary@ 95.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Solary UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $455 → $4.6K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Solary; negative values favor DN SOOPers Challengers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDN SOOPers Challengers · $8.6K
6hDN SOOPers Challengers · $535
24hSolary · $2.7K

Solary price VWAP

Volume-weighted Solary price. DN SOOPers Challengers fills are converted to the complementary Solary probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h75.2¢▲ above by 24.7pp
VWAP 7d75.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Solary price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$55.4K
90¢
$8.1K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$6.4K
70¢
$2.9K
65¢
$4.5K
60¢
$29.9K
55¢
$18.1K
50¢
$6.4K
45¢
$5.3K
40¢
$1.0K
35¢
$1.2K
30¢
$238
25¢
$489
20¢
$152
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSolary$18.3K@ 99.9¢
Lucas1tb0xe1f3…5402
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lucas1tbSolary$11.9K
BUY VWAP 73.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.