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China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz

Sports→Closes: 5 daysLiquidity: $251.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $493.2KEvent: China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz
0.1¢
Learner Tien
99.9¢
Hubert Hurkacz
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:181 trades$177.7K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 33 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Learner Tien · $11.9K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$68.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLearner Tien$17.8K@ 65¢·kkookkoo

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-07 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Hubert Hurkacz in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Hubert Hurkacz. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 35m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 35m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Learner Tien@ 65.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Learner Tien@ 64.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Learner Tien@ 77.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -17.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Learner Tien DOWN 21.5pp · near-book depth $9 → $568 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Learner Tien; negative values favor Hubert Hurkacz. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHubert Hurkacz · $11.1K
6hLearner Tien · $53.9K
24hLearner Tien · $54.9K

Learner Tien price VWAP

Volume-weighted Learner Tien price. Hubert Hurkacz fills are converted to the complementary Learner Tien probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h49.9¢▼ below by 49.8pp
VWAP 7d50.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Learner Tien price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$12
80¢
$3.5K
75¢
$37.3K
70¢
$86
65¢
$3.0K
60¢
$55.3K
55¢
$12.3K
50¢
$19.0K
45¢
$249
40¢
$1.5K
35¢
$5.8K
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$9.6K
5¢
$382
0¢
← now
$31.6K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLearner Tien$17.8K@ 64.6¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLearner Tien$12.8K@ 77.0¢0xc323…0077🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLearner Tien$11.6K@ 77.0¢0xc323…0077🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xc323…0077Learner Tien$34.0K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·4 fills
kkookkooLearner Tien$17.8K
BUY VWAP 64.6¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesHubert Hurkacz$12.3K
BUY VWAP 67.2¢·10 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.