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Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Sports→Settlement: Atlanta BravesLiquidity: $160.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $88.8KEvent: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
100.0¢
Atlanta Braves payout
0.0¢
Philadelphia Phillies payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:10 trades$27.5K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 99 min agoofficial metadata 50 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philadelphia Phillies · $11.0K net·4 wallets·$14.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAtlanta Braves$7.8K@ 100¢·Velin217

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Atlanta Braves. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-06 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 29 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $31.9K gross
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $29.3K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $28.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atlanta Braves; negative values favor Philadelphia Phillies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhiladelphia Phillies · $46
6hPhiladelphia Phillies · $7.7K
24hPhiladelphia Phillies · $8.8K

Atlanta Braves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atlanta Braves price. Philadelphia Phillies fills are converted to the complementary Atlanta Braves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h59.9¢▲ above by 40.1pp
VWAP 7d59.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atlanta Braves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$7.8K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.2K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$16.6K
35¢
$2.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.