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China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka

Sports→Settlement: Aryna SabalenkaLiquidity: $255.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $129.9KEvent: China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka
0.0¢
Renata Zarazua payout
100.0¢
Aryna Sabalenka payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Aryna Sabalenka · $22.3K net·6 wallets·$22.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAryna Sabalenka$18.0K@ 97¢·KevinEasyMoney27

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Aryna Sabalenka. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-09 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Renata Zarazua and Aryna Sabalenka in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Renata Zarazua' if Renata Zarazua advances against Aryna Sabalenka. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Renata Zarazua. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 29m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Aryna Sabalenka@ 96.9¢1d ago
15m STALLED -0.3pp1h STALLED -0.8pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Renata Zarazua; negative values favor Aryna Sabalenka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRenata Zarazua · $10.0K
6hAryna Sabalenka · $38.1K
24hAryna Sabalenka · $47.8K

Renata Zarazua price VWAP

Volume-weighted Renata Zarazua price. Aryna Sabalenka fills are converted to the complementary Renata Zarazua probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h2.2¢▼ below by 2.2pp
VWAP 7d2.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Renata Zarazua price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

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← now
$71.3K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAryna Sabalenka$18.0K@ 96.8¢
KevinEasyMoney270x55f5…e2a0
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KevinEasyMoney27Aryna Sabalenka$18.0K
BUY VWAP 96.8¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesAryna Sabalenka$15.7K
BUY VWAP 98.4¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.