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China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $110.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $746.7KEvent: China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic
56.0¢
Yunchaokete Bu
44.0¢
Novak Djokovic
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority46Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 21 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:275 trades$258.7K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 25s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Novak Djokovic · $7.3K net·21 wallets·$73.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNovak Djokovic$20.0K@ 57¢·Luzzzer

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Novak Djokovic pressure: $18.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$18.6K
6h
−$39.8K
tracked
$258.7K

21 verified profitable wallets: Novak Djokovic · $7.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 84% · priority 46

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Novak Djokovic or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-09 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yunchaokete Bu and Novak Djokovic in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yunchaokete Bu' if Yunchaokete Bu advances against Novak Djokovic. This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Yunchaokete Bu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Yunchaokete Bu UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $174 → $83 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yunchaokete Bu; negative values favor Novak Djokovic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNovak Djokovic · $18.6K
6hNovak Djokovic · $39.8K
24hNovak Djokovic · $41.0K

Yunchaokete Bu price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yunchaokete Bu price. Novak Djokovic fills are converted to the complementary Yunchaokete Bu probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current56.0¢
VWAP 24h44.2¢▲ above by 11.8pp
VWAP 7d44.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yunchaokete Bu price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$30.8K
55¢
← now
$46.5K
50¢
$43.1K
45¢
$5.5K
40¢
$40.0K
35¢
$31.8K
30¢
$8.2K
25¢
$46
20¢
$53.9K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNovak Djokovic$20.0K@ 57.5¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNovak Djokovic$10.0K@ 46.0¢0x760f…326a🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYunchaokete Bu$12.6K@ 57.3¢
AGUGava0x0353…c2ff
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNovak Djokovic$13.0K@ 79.0¢
leohe0x779a…b689
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYYunchaokete Bu$14.3K@ 23.7¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

LuzzzerNovak Djokovic$20.0K
BUY VWAP 57.5¢·1 fill
AGUGavaYunchaokete Bu$15.1K
BUY VWAP 57.4¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Novak Djokovic$14.6K
BUY VWAP 51.9¢·4 fills
KkunnYunchaokete Bu$14.3K
BUY VWAP 23.7¢·1 fill
leoheNovak Djokovic$13.0K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesYunchaokete Bu$10.8K
BUY VWAP 51.7¢·14 fills
0x760f…326aNovak Djokovic$10.0K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.