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Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)

● quote 123 min ago
Sports→SoccerCloses: about 22 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets
55.5¢
FC Bayern München
44.5¢
Viking FK
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:2 trades$6 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 256 min agoofficial metadata 645 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$6
tracked
$6

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 123 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 256 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 645 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-13 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FC Bayern München" if FC Bayern München win the game by 3 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Viking FK".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 13 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Bayern München" if FC Bayern München win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Viking FK". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FC Bayern München; negative values favor Viking FK. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFC Bayern München · $0
6hFC Bayern München · $6
24hFC Bayern München · $6

FC Bayern München price VWAP

Volume-weighted FC Bayern München price. Viking FK fills are converted to the complementary FC Bayern München probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current55.5¢
VWAP 24h57.0¢▼ below by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d57.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FC Bayern München price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$6
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: FC Bayern München (-5.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 0.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Viking FK (-5.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Viking FK (-3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.