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New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $149.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $301.2KEvent: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
5.5¢
New York Yankees
94.5¢
Tampa Bay Rays
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets31Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:135 trades$136.2K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 23 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tampa Bay Rays · $21.8K net·13 wallets·$44.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTampa Bay Rays$5.7K@ 95¢·0F62

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

New York Yankees pressure: $13.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$13.3K
6h
+$6.4K
tracked
$136.2K

13 verified profitable wallets: Tampa Bay Rays · $21.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 54

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 23 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from New York Yankees or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-13 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 5 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $28.0K gross
yx199001092 linked markets · $12.6K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $6.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Tampa Bay Rays UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $843 → $2.4K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor New York Yankees; negative values favor Tampa Bay Rays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew York Yankees · $13.3K
6hNew York Yankees · $6.4K
24hNew York Yankees · $6.6K

New York Yankees price VWAP

Volume-weighted New York Yankees price. Tampa Bay Rays fills are converted to the complementary New York Yankees probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current5.5¢
VWAP 24h46.7¢▼ below by 41.2pp
VWAP 7d46.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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New York Yankees price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$115
70¢
$0
65¢
$62
60¢
$503
55¢
$3.2K
50¢
$44.7K
45¢
$4.1K
40¢
$27.4K
35¢
$17.8K
30¢
$149
25¢
$13
20¢
$1.3K
15¢
$17.7K
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$19.1K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardTampa Bay Rays$16.6K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·5 fills
remingt0nTampa Bay Rays$11.9K
BUY VWAP 93.0¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.