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Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

● quote just now
Sports→BaseballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $171.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $556.2KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
52.5¢
Cleveland Guardians
47.5¢
Chicago White Sox
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection25Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets20Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:112 trades$275.3K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago White Sox · $12.7K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$64.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago White Sox$32.5K@ 52¢·Pwaddler

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Chicago White Sox pressure: $67.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$67.7K
6h
−$74.4K
tracked
$275.3K

11 verified profitable wallets: Chicago White Sox · $12.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 53

Since latest large flow: -6.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chicago White Sox or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-14 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for October 7 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $34.6K gross
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $17.5K gross
quavoo3 linked markets · $8.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Chicago White Sox35m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago White Sox@ 54.0¢50m ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 47.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -13.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 48.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Cleveland Guardians UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $19.1K → $1.0K · 18s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cleveland Guardians; negative values favor Chicago White Sox. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago White Sox · $67.7K
6hChicago White Sox · $74.4K
24hChicago White Sox · $81.1K

Cleveland Guardians price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cleveland Guardians price. Chicago White Sox fills are converted to the complementary Cleveland Guardians probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h42.9¢▲ above by 9.6pp
VWAP 7d42.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cleveland Guardians price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$0
45¢
$199.4K
40¢
$8.6K
35¢
$21.9K
30¢
$27.9K
25¢
$1.9K
20¢
$16.8K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago White Sox$16.8K@ 76.0¢0x00a5…f151🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYChicago White Sox$11.1K@ 65.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYChicago White Sox$15.0K@ 54.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChicago White Sox$25.0K@ 54.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$28.6K@ 47.0¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$16.4K@ 47.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox$21.7K@ 53.0¢
Pwaddler0x1d1a…0df6
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox$32.5K@ 52.0¢
Pwaddler0x1d1a…0df6
🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PwaddlerChicago White Sox$56.3K
BUY VWAP 52.4¢·3 fills
BrotherObamaChicago White Sox$40.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·2 fills
KosherlocksCleveland Guardians$30.1K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·2 fills
0x00a5…f151Chicago White Sox$16.8K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Cleveland Guardians$16.4K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Chicago White Sox$12.1K
BUY VWAP 64.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.