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Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Chidekh vs Harold Mayot

● quote 54s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $42.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $190.2KEvent: Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Chidekh vs Harold Mayot
99.8¢
Clement Chidekh
0.2¢
Harold Mayot
0.2¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets42Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution88Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:38 trades$81.0K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 122 min agoofficial metadata 35s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Harold Mayot · $3.7K net·3 wallets·$8.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYClement Chidekh$23.6K@ 96¢·yesmate

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$30.4K
tracked
$81.0K

3 verified profitable wallets: Harold Mayot · $3.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.2¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -79.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 122 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-09 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Clement Chidekh and Harold Mayot in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clement Chidekh' if Clement Chidekh advances against Harold Mayot. This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Clement Chidekh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Clement Chidekh2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Clement Chidekh@ 79.0¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Harold Mayot DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $583 → $11 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Clement Chidekh; negative values favor Harold Mayot. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hClement Chidekh · $0
6hClement Chidekh · $30.4K
24hClement Chidekh · $30.4K

Clement Chidekh price VWAP

Volume-weighted Clement Chidekh price. Harold Mayot fills are converted to the complementary Clement Chidekh probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.8¢
VWAP 24h76.6¢▲ above by 23.2pp
VWAP 7d76.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Clement Chidekh price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$42.4K
90¢
$1.1K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$3.8K
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.8K
60¢
$1.5K
55¢
$3.1K
50¢
$0
45¢
$21.3K
40¢
$6.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLClement Chidekh$14.1K@ 99.2¢
rogerveer0x4a3e…2694
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYClement Chidekh$23.6K@ 96.0¢
yesmate0x5d76…9168
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYClement Chidekh$20.0K@ 48.5¢0x4fdc…ca1f🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

yesmateClement Chidekh$25.4K
BUY VWAP 93.4¢·2 fills
0x4fdc…ca1fClement Chidekh$20.0K
BUY VWAP 48.5¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.