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Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)

Sports→SoccerCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $16Event: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK - More Markets
0.0¢
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0.0¢
Beşiktaş JK
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:2 trades$362 trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 348 min agoofficial metadata 2060 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$250
tracked
$362

1 verified profitable wallet: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · $112 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 348 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-15 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" if TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Beşiktaş JK".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for October 15 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" if TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Beşiktaş JK". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $154 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor TSG 1899 Hoffenheim; negative values favor Beşiktaş JK. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · $0
6hTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · $250
24hTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · $362

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim price VWAP

Volume-weighted TSG 1899 Hoffenheim price. Beşiktaş JK fills are converted to the complementary TSG 1899 Hoffenheim probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h28.0¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d28.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$362
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5
64.5¢$11.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-3.5)
0.0¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-4.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-4.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.