PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)

Sports→Combat SportsCloses: about 19 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $1.2KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)
0.0¢
Kyle Daukaus
0.0¢
Marc-Andre Barriault
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:3 trades$1.4K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 266 min agoofficial metadata 1411 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKyle Daukaus$1.3K@ 64¢·Gold.Mansacks

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1.3K
tracked
$1.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 266 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 1411 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kyle Daukaus" if Kyle Daukaus is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Marc-Andre Barriault" if Marc-Andre Barriault is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Kyle Daukaus" if Kyle Daukaus is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Marc-Andre Barriault" if Marc-Andre Barriault is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kyle Daukaus; negative values favor Marc-Andre Barriault. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKyle Daukaus · $0
6hKyle Daukaus · $1.3K
24hKyle Daukaus · $1.4K

Kyle Daukaus price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kyle Daukaus price. Marc-Andre Barriault fills are converted to the complementary Kyle Daukaus probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h64.0¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d64.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Kyle Daukaus price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.4K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

O/U 2.5 Rounds
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
O/U 0.5 Rounds
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
O/U 1.5 Rounds
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: Team Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs
19.5¢$829.6Kpriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$422.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
0.3¢$417.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mallorca: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Rebeka Masarova
0.0¢$408.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?
59.5¢$366.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.