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UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Combat SportsCloses: about 19 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $26.8KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)
33.5¢
Tanner Boser
66.5¢
Jhonata Diniz
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection40Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:9 trades$7.6K trackedsource coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTanner Boser$4.3K@ 33¢·FeedTheBigBird

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Tanner Boser pressure: $3.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.0K
6h
+$3.1K
tracked
$7.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: Tanner Boser · $157 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 29 minutes old.
  • •Less than 19h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Tanner Boser or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tanner Boser" if Tanner Boser is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jhonata Diniz at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Jhonata Diniz" if Jhonata Diniz is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Tanner Boser" if Tanner Boser is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jhonata Diniz at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Jhonata Diniz" if Jhonata Diniz is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tanner Boser; negative values favor Jhonata Diniz. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTanner Boser · $3.0K
6hTanner Boser · $3.1K
24hTanner Boser · $7.6K

Tanner Boser price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tanner Boser price. Jhonata Diniz fills are converted to the complementary Tanner Boser probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current33.5¢
VWAP 24h33.6¢▼ below by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d33.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tanner Boser price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$7.6K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.