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UFC Fight Night: Chelsea Chandler vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

● quote 31s ago
Sports→Combat SportsCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $15.4KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Chelsea Chandler vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
24.5¢
Chelsea Chandler
75.5¢
Melissa Croden
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%
24h sample:4 trades$1.0K trackedsource coverage 7%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 318 min agoofficial metadata 579 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMelissa Croden$8.9K@ 74¢·dv-pm

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$5
tracked
$1.0K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 318 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 579 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chelsea Chandler" if Chelsea Chandler is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melissa Croden at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Melissa Croden" if Melissa Croden is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Chelsea Chandler" if Chelsea Chandler is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melissa Croden at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Melissa Croden" if Melissa Croden is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chelsea Chandler; negative values favor Melissa Croden. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChelsea Chandler · $0
6hChelsea Chandler · $5
24hMelissa Croden · $999

Chelsea Chandler price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chelsea Chandler price. Melissa Croden fills are converted to the complementary Chelsea Chandler probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current24.5¢
VWAP 24h25.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d25.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chelsea Chandler price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$9.9K
20¢
← now
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.