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Palermo: Jay Clarke vs Gabriele Piraino

Sports→Settlement: Gabriele PirainoLiquidity: $515.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $715.0KEvent: Palermo: Jay Clarke vs Gabriele Piraino
0.0¢
Jay Clarke payout
100.0¢
Gabriele Piraino payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:87 trades$306.7K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 23 min agoofficial metadata 16 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Gabriele Piraino · $90.8K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$132.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGabriele Piraino$81.1K@ 99¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Gabriele Piraino. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-12 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Clarke and Gabriele Piraino in the Palermo, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jay Clarke' if Jay Clarke advances against Gabriele Piraino. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Piraino' if Gabriele Piraino advances against Jay Clarke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 16m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 16m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Gabriele Piraino@ 96.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Gabriele Piraino1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Gabriele Piraino@ 68.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Jay Clarke@ 33.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -9.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Gabriele Piraino UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $65.7K → $30.4K · 41s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jay Clarke; negative values favor Gabriele Piraino. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGabriele Piraino · $147.6K
6hGabriele Piraino · $122.3K
24hGabriele Piraino · $122.3K

Jay Clarke price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jay Clarke price. Gabriele Piraino fills are converted to the complementary Jay Clarke probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h16.9¢▼ below by 16.9pp
VWAP 7d16.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jay Clarke price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.2K
55¢
$0
50¢
$6.3K
45¢
$66.5K
40¢
$155
35¢
$6.1K
30¢
$8.2K
25¢
$1.7K
20¢
$0
15¢
$29.9K
10¢
$33.7K
5¢
$3.1K
0¢
← now
$149.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGabriele Piraino$81.1K@ 99.2¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGabriele Piraino$54.0K@ 99.2¢
Hashbrown0xa52b…9480
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGabriele Piraino$21.8K@ 87.0¢0x08a3…8666🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGabriele Piraino$15.7K@ 84.0¢0x08a3…8666🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJay Clarke$10.0K@ 48.2¢0x760f…326a🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGabriele Piraino$19.3K@ 52.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJay Clarke$18.8K@ 47.0¢0x08a3…8666🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Gabriele Piraino$103.9K
BUY VWAP 82.3¢·3 fills
HashbrownGabriele Piraino$54.0K
BUY VWAP 99.2¢·1 fill
0x08a3…8666Gabriele Piraino$37.6K
BUY VWAP 85.7¢·3 fills
0x08a3…8666Jay Clarke$27.3K
BUY VWAP 47.6¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Jay Clarke$17.0K
BUY VWAP 17.7¢·4 fills
0x760f…326aJay Clarke$10.0K
BUY VWAP 48.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.