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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $192.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $177.1KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria
73.5¢
Arthur Gea
26.5¢
Jaime Faria
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection33Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets42Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:120 trades$81.5K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Arthur Gea · $16.0K net·12 wallets·$38.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArthur Gea$21.7K@ 70¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Arthur Gea SETUP
What the tape says

Arthur Gea pressure: $27.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$27.1K
6h
+$31.6K
tracked
$81.5K

12 verified profitable wallets: Arthur Gea · $16.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 87% · priority 63

Since latest large flow: +3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Arthur Gea or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-14 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Jaime Faria in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Jaime Faria. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Arthur Gea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Arthur Gea@ 72.0¢23m ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Arthur Gea1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Arthur Gea@ 64.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -6.0pp
Latest book event: Arthur Gea UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $64.8K → $550 · 51s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arthur Gea; negative values favor Jaime Faria. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArthur Gea · $27.1K
6hArthur Gea · $31.6K
24hArthur Gea · $47.2K

Arthur Gea price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arthur Gea price. Jaime Faria fills are converted to the complementary Arthur Gea probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current73.5¢
VWAP 24h63.9¢▲ above by 9.6pp
VWAP 7d63.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arthur Gea price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$17
75¢
$8.5K
70¢
← now
$25.2K
65¢
$8.9K
60¢
$22.5K
55¢
$8.4K
50¢
$1.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$3
35¢
$4.0K
30¢
$2.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYArthur Gea$21.7K@ 70.1¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—25 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooArthur Gea$21.7K
BUY VWAP 70.1¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Arthur Gea$17.5K
BUY VWAP 62.7¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.