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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $284.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $214.0KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
26.5¢
Botic van de Zandschulp
73.5¢
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection30Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets81Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority71Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:62 trades$91.3K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Daniel Merida Aguilar · $13.6K net·7 wallets·$16.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDaniel Merida Aguilar$10.0K@ 51¢·xabidaking

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Daniel Merida Aguilar pressure: $27.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$27.1K
6h
−$23.8K
tracked
$91.3K

7 verified profitable wallets: Daniel Merida Aguilar · $13.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 71

Since latest large flow: +24.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 24.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Daniel Merida Aguilar or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-14 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Botic van de Zandschulp and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Daniel Merida Aguilar37m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Daniel Merida Aguilar@ 50.0¢51m ago
15m CONFIRMED +21.0pp
Latest book event: Daniel Merida Aguilar UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $21.4K → $86.6K · 22s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Botic van de Zandschulp; negative values favor Daniel Merida Aguilar. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaniel Merida Aguilar · $27.1K
6hDaniel Merida Aguilar · $23.8K
24hDaniel Merida Aguilar · $32.5K

Botic van de Zandschulp price VWAP

Volume-weighted Botic van de Zandschulp price. Daniel Merida Aguilar fills are converted to the complementary Botic van de Zandschulp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current26.5¢
VWAP 24h43.1¢▼ below by 16.6pp
VWAP 7d43.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Botic van de Zandschulp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$23.2K
45¢
$41.4K
40¢
$0
35¢
$8.3K
30¢
$2.7K
25¢
← now
$4.9K
20¢
$11.6K
15¢
$197
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDaniel Merida Aguilar$10.0K@ 51.0¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDaniel Merida Aguilar$10.0K@ 51.0¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xabidakingDaniel Merida Aguilar$29.2K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Daniel Merida Aguilar$11.0K
BUY VWAP 50.5¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.