PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Delaware (-2.5)

● quote 275 min ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee
47.0¢
Delaware
53.0¢
Middle Tennessee
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution56Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:2 trades$1.3K trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 531 min agoofficial metadata 702 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMiddle Tennessee$1.3K@ 51¢·ic4cream

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$1.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: Middle Tennessee · $1.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 275 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 531 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 702 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-13 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Delaware" if Delaware win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Middle Tennessee".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 13 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Delaware" if Delaware win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Middle Tennessee". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Delaware; negative values favor Middle Tennessee. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDelaware · $0
6hDelaware · $0
24hMiddle Tennessee · $1.3K

Delaware price VWAP

Volume-weighted Delaware price. Middle Tennessee fills are converted to the complementary Delaware probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.0¢
VWAP 24h49.1¢▼ below by 2.1pp
VWAP 7d49.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Delaware price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$1.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Delaware (-17.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Delaware (-8.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Delaware (-20.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee: O/U 63.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee: O/U 71.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Delaware (-16.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Delaware (-7.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.