PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+1.5)

● quote 16 min ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Counter-Strike: NIP vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group A
74.5¢
NIP
25.5¢
Betclic Apogee Esports
7.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution21Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:3 trades$1.2K trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 147 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNIP$1.2K@ 47¢·0x29b5…cc6c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1.2K
tracked
$1.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: NIP · $1.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
7.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 3 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 16 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 147 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 7.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-12 16:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP wins 2 or more maps than Betclic Apogee Esports in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Betclic Apogee Esports".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Opening match between NIP and Betclic Apogee Esports in the Stake Pulse Beat III Group A, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP wins 2 or more maps than Betclic Apogee Esports in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Betclic Apogee Esports". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 1h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x29b5…cc6c2 linked markets · $2.4K gross
0xfce8…26862 linked markets · $40 gross
0xcc78…d2022 linked markets · $27 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Betclic Apogee Esports UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $10 → $21 · 102s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor NIP; negative values favor Betclic Apogee Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNIP · $0
6hNIP · $1.2K
24hNIP · $1.2K

NIP price VWAP

Volume-weighted NIP price. Betclic Apogee Esports fills are converted to the complementary NIP probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current74.5¢
VWAP 24h47.0¢▲ above by 27.5pp
VWAP 7d47.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

NIP price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$4
70¢
← now
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$1.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
46.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.