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Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Sports→American FootballCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $25Event: Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff
0.0¢
Alabama State
0.0¢
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:5 trades$43 trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 258 min agoofficial metadata 1926 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$25
tracked
$43

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 258 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 1926 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alabama State" if Alabama State win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Arkansas-Pine Bluff" if Arkansas-Pine Bluff win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Alabama State and Arkansas-Pine Bluff, scheduled for October 17 at 3:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alabama State" if Alabama State win the game. This market will resolve to "Arkansas-Pine Bluff" if Arkansas-Pine Bluff win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alabama State; negative values favor Arkansas-Pine Bluff. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlabama State · $0
6hArkansas-Pine Bluff · $25
24hArkansas-Pine Bluff · $20

Alabama State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alabama State price. Arkansas-Pine Bluff fills are converted to the complementary Alabama State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h61.6¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d61.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alabama State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$43
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff: O/U 61.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff: O/U 57.5
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Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff: O/U 53.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff: O/U 59.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff: O/U 51.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff: O/U 55.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alabama State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff: O/U 49.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Alabama State (-14.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.