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Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan

Sports→American FootballSettlement: ToledoLiquidity: $76.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $324.3KEvent: Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan
100.0¢
Toledo payout
0.0¢
Eastern Michigan payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Toledo · $210.3K net·7 wallets(2🐋)·$210.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYToledo$88.3K@ 72¢·Kch-Temp

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Toledo. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-17 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Eastern Michigan" if Eastern Michigan win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Toledo and Eastern Michigan, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game. This market will resolve to "Eastern Michigan" if Eastern Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Kch-Temp2 linked markets · $208.8K gross
HomeRunHazard6 linked markets · $47.8K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $30.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Toledo@ 73.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +15.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGEBUY Toledo@ 73.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +15.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Toledo@ 73.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +16.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Toledo@ 72.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +11.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Toledo; negative values favor Eastern Michigan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEastern Michigan · $0
6hToledo · $209.3K
24hToledo · $216.8K

Toledo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Toledo price. Eastern Michigan fills are converted to the complementary Toledo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h71.5¢▲ above by 28.5pp
VWAP 7d71.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Toledo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.2K
90¢
$2
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$214.5K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYToledo$88.3K@ 72.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYToledo$40.0K@ 71.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYToledo$41.1K@ 70.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYToledo$13.3K@ 70.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Kch-TempToledo$169.4K
BUY VWAP 71.3¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Toledo$20.8K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.