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Spread: Morgan State (-5.5)

Sports→American FootballCloses: 16 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $10.0KEvent: Morgan State vs. Tennessee State
0.0¢
Morgan State
0.0¢
Tennessee State
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets6Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:6 trades$2.3K trackedsource coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 27 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Morgan State · $2 net·3 wallets·$25 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTennessee State$1.2K@ 54¢·quavoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$65
6h
−$65
tracked
$2.3K

3 verified profitable wallets: Morgan State · $2 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 27 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 22:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Morgan State" if Morgan State win the game by 6 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tennessee State".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Morgan State" if Morgan State win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tennessee State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Morgan State; negative values favor Tennessee State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTennessee State · $65
6hTennessee State · $65
24hTennessee State · $65

Morgan State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Morgan State price. Tennessee State fills are converted to the complementary Morgan State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h49.0¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d49.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Morgan State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.1K
45¢
$1.2K
40¢
$25
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Tennessee State (-10.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Morgan State vs. Tennessee State: O/U 55.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Morgan State (-14.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Morgan State vs. Tennessee State: O/U 61.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Morgan State vs. Tennessee State: O/U 51.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Morgan State vs. Tennessee State
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Tennessee State (-14.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Morgan State vs. Tennessee State: O/U 57.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.