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TCU vs. Baylor

Sports→American FootballSettlement: TCULiquidity: $116.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $5.7KEvent: TCU vs. Baylor
100.0¢
TCU payout
0.0¢
Baylor payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:TCU · $9.6K net·16 wallets(1🐋)·$43.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTCU$11.1K@ 37¢·SDTrading

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome TCU. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-17 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "TCU" if TCU win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Baylor" if Baylor win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between TCU and Baylor, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "TCU" if TCU win the game. This market will resolve to "Baylor" if Baylor win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 4d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 4d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20265 linked markets · $25.2K gross
iDARKenjoyer2 linked markets · $12.7K gross
ArielFilipino2 linked markets · $10.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor TCU; negative values favor Baylor. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTCU · $8
6hTCU · $47.6K
24hTCU · $36.2K

TCU price VWAP

Volume-weighted TCU price. Baylor fills are converted to the complementary TCU probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h55.3¢▲ above by 44.7pp
VWAP 7d55.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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TCU price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.3K
90¢
$2.2K
85¢
$8.0K
80¢
$3.2K
75¢
$3.0K
70¢
$1.6K
65¢
$12
60¢
$670
55¢
$13.9K
50¢
$5.4K
45¢
$934
40¢
$0
35¢
$21.1K
30¢
$11.4K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTCU$11.1K@ 37.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—4 days ago
BUYTCU$10.0K@ 37.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—4 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SDTradingTCU$11.1K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·1 fill
iDARKenjoyerTCU$10.2K
BUY VWAP 58.9¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026TCU$10.0K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.