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Kent State vs. South Florida

● quote 35s ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 18 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $22.9KEvent: Kent State vs. South Florida
8.5¢
Kent State
91.5¢
South Florida
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection73Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:4 trades$13.5K trackedsource coverage 59%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSouth Florida$6.1K@ 92¢·0xc5ef…dc8e

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

South Florida pressure: $9.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$9.8K
6h
−$13.5K
tracked
$13.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: Kent State · $3 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 42 minutes old.
  • •Less than 18h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from South Florida or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kent State" if Kent State win the game.

•This market will resolve to "South Florida" if South Florida win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Kent State and South Florida, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kent State" if Kent State win the game. This market will resolve to "South Florida" if South Florida win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kent State; negative values favor South Florida. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSouth Florida · $9.8K
6hSouth Florida · $13.5K
24hSouth Florida · $13.5K

Kent State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kent State price. South Florida fills are converted to the complementary Kent State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current8.5¢
VWAP 24h8.3¢▲ above by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d8.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kent State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$13.5K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: South Florida (-20.5)
0.0¢$436priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: South Florida (-2.5)
0.0¢$234priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: South Florida (-1.5)
0.0¢$196priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: South Florida (-19.5)
0.0¢$102priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kent State vs. South Florida: O/U 45.5
0.0¢$49priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Kent State (-0.5)
0.0¢$45priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: South Florida (-0.5)
0.0¢$19priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Kent State (-5.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.