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China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $311.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $717.5KEvent: China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva
0.1¢
Ekaterina Alexandrova
99.9¢
Mirra Andreeva
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets82Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:189 trades$302.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 17s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mirra Andreeva · $88.6K net·8 wallets·$108.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMirra Andreeva$15.7K@ 89¢·Polyplayer14

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Mirra Andreeva pressure: $46.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$46.4K
6h
−$86.3K
tracked
$302.3K

8 verified profitable wallets: Mirra Andreeva · $88.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +24.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 24.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Mirra Andreeva or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-15 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Mirra Andreeva in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Alexandrova' if Ekaterina Alexandrova advances against Mirra Andreeva. This market will resolve to 'Mirra Andreeva' if Mirra Andreeva advances against Ekaterina Alexandrova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Mirra Andreeva1h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Mirra Andreeva@ 76.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +18.0pp1h CONFIRMED +22.0pp
Latest book event: Mirra Andreeva UP 6.2pp · near-book depth $88.3K → $80.3K · 25s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ekaterina Alexandrova; negative values favor Mirra Andreeva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMirra Andreeva · $46.4K
6hMirra Andreeva · $86.3K
24hMirra Andreeva · $96.5K

Ekaterina Alexandrova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ekaterina Alexandrova price. Mirra Andreeva fills are converted to the complementary Ekaterina Alexandrova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h22.0¢▼ below by 21.9pp
VWAP 7d22.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ekaterina Alexandrova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$2.9K
50¢
$10.8K
45¢
$15.0K
40¢
$1.0K
35¢
$7.1K
30¢
$52.0K
25¢
$62.0K
20¢
$4.8K
15¢
$26.6K
10¢
$68.9K
5¢
$3.6K
0¢
← now
$47.6K

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMirra Andreeva$12.0K@ 68.1¢
Polyplayer140xba76…e0d7
🐋—16 minutes ago
BUYMirra Andreeva$15.7K@ 89.0¢
Polyplayer140xba76…e0d7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYEkaterina Alexandrova$11.3K@ 48.5¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMirra Andreeva$12.2K@ 72.0¢
Vetchoux0xa9c4…7433
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesMirra Andreeva$35.0K
BUY VWAP 86.6¢·10 fills
Polyplayer14Mirra Andreeva$24.9K
BUY VWAP 85.5¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardMirra Andreeva$21.0K
BUY VWAP 81.5¢·5 fills
kkookkooEkaterina Alexandrova$20.7K
BUY VWAP 50.4¢·3 fills
0xwiseEkaterina Alexandrova$13.7K
BUY VWAP 20.4¢·5 fills
ferrariChampions2026Mirra Andreeva$13.1K
BUY VWAP 74.3¢·4 fills
IlliascaMirra Andreeva$12.2K
BUY VWAP 69.6¢·3 fills
VetchouxMirra Andreeva$12.2K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·1 fill
VenusianMirra Andreeva$10.9K
BUY VWAP 95.2¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.