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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yibing Wu vs Michael Zheng

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $142.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $169.9KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yibing Wu vs Michael Zheng
82.5¢
Yibing Wu
17.5¢
Michael Zheng
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection28Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets58Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:52 trades$79.9K trackedsource coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Yibing Wu · $10.1K net·3 wallets·$17.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYibing Wu$7.7K@ 51¢·0x2ce8…4527

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Yibing Wu SETUP
What the tape says

Yibing Wu pressure: $22.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$22.7K
6h
+$20.2K
tracked
$79.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: Yibing Wu · $10.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 65

Since latest market sweep: +7.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Yibing Wu or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-14 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yibing Wu and Michael Zheng in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yibing Wu' if Yibing Wu advances against Michael Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Michael Zheng' if Michael Zheng advances against Yibing Wu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Yibing Wu@ 76.0¢33m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: Michael Zheng DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $903 → $7.6K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yibing Wu; negative values favor Michael Zheng. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYibing Wu · $22.7K
6hYibing Wu · $20.2K
24hYibing Wu · $35.3K

Yibing Wu price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yibing Wu price. Michael Zheng fills are converted to the complementary Yibing Wu probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current82.5¢
VWAP 24h59.1¢▲ above by 23.4pp
VWAP 7d59.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yibing Wu price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
← now
$2.0K
75¢
$4.1K
70¢
$10.6K
65¢
$160
60¢
$5.0K
55¢
$30.4K
50¢
$27.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xb4f9…c9a7Yibing Wu$12.5K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.