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Antofagasta: Miguel Tobon vs Tomas Barrios

Sports→TennisSettlement: Miguel TobonLiquidity: $124.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $276.6KEvent: Antofagasta: Miguel Tobon vs Tomas Barrios
100.0¢
Miguel Tobon payout
0.0¢
Tomas Barrios payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:55 trades$131.7K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 85 min agoofficial metadata 66 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tomas Barrios · $5.4K net·6 wallets·$10.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMiguel Tobon$41.7K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Miguel Tobon. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-14 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Tobon and Tomas Barrios in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Tomas Barrios. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Barrios' if Tomas Barrios advances against Miguel Tobon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Miguel Tobon2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Miguel Tobon@ 8.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Tomas Barrios DOWN 7.5pp · near-book depth $52 → $476 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miguel Tobon; negative values favor Tomas Barrios. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTomas Barrios · $12.2K
6hTomas Barrios · $40.5K
24hTomas Barrios · $40.5K

Miguel Tobon price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miguel Tobon price. Tomas Barrios fills are converted to the complementary Miguel Tobon probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h66.3¢▲ above by 33.7pp
VWAP 7d66.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Miguel Tobon price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$44.8K
90¢
$5.0K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$28.2K
55¢
$301
50¢
$12.1K
45¢
$4.9K
40¢
$7.8K
35¢
$11.4K
30¢
$3.5K
25¢
$5.3K
20¢
$1.7K
15¢
$0
10¢
$3.8K
5¢
$1.8K
0¢
$1.2K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMiguel Tobon$41.7K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMiguel Tobon$10.0K@ 52.9¢
Illiasca0xc0a5…1f5f
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMiguel Tobon$18.9K@ 63.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooMiguel Tobon$23.9K
BUY VWAP 57.9¢·2 fills
IlliascaMiguel Tobon$10.0K
BUY VWAP 52.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.