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Warriors vs. Lakers

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 35 minutesLiquidity: $85.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $235.2KEvent: Warriors vs. Lakers
55.5¢
Warriors
44.5¢
Lakers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets62Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution91Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:85 trades$95.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lakers · $1.0K net·6 wallets·$1.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLakers$26.6K@ 44¢·www511zwin

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Lakers SETUP
What the tape says

Lakers pressure: $13.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$13.9K
6h
−$15.8K
tracked
$95.4K

6 verified profitable wallets: Lakers · $1.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 61

Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Lakers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-14 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors".

•If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 13 at 10:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ropetard3 linked markets · $34.1K gross
0x906f…88b42 linked markets · $8.0K gross
Forecastication23 linked markets · $267 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Lakers@ 44.0¢33m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: Warriors DOWN 3.5pp · near-book depth $7.3K → $943 · 14s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Warriors; negative values favor Lakers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLakers · $13.9K
6hLakers · $15.8K
24hLakers · $11.9K

Warriors price VWAP

Volume-weighted Warriors price. Lakers fills are converted to the complementary Warriors probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current55.5¢
VWAP 24h49.8¢▲ above by 5.7pp
VWAP 7d49.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Warriors price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$32.0K
50¢
$19.3K
45¢
$22.5K
40¢
$10.8K
35¢
$10.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLakers$26.6K@ 44.4¢
www511zwin0x9368…f390
🐋—34 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
43.5¢$19.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
45.5¢$13.3Kpriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5
0.0¢$7.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
0.0¢$2.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
0.0¢$2.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5
0.0¢$2.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5
0.0¢$929priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5
0.0¢$621priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

www511zwinLakers$26.6K
BUY VWAP 44.4¢·1 fill
ropetardWarriors$10.0K
BUY VWAP 48.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.