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Alba Berlin vs. Igokea

● quote 485 min ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $7.3KEvent: Alba Berlin vs. Igokea
81.5¢
Alba Berlin
18.5¢
Igokea
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:2 trades$60 trackedsource coverage 1%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 135 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alba Berlin · $59 net·2 wallets·$61 gross

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$60
tracked
$60

2 verified profitable wallets: Alba Berlin · $59 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 1%.
  • •Executable quote is 485 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 135 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.championsleague.basketball/
Outcome meaning

•If the Alba Berlin win, the market will resolve to "Alba Berlin".

•If the Igokea win, the market will resolve to "Igokea".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Basketball Champions League game, scheduled for October 13 at 2:00PM ET: If the Alba Berlin win, the market will resolve to "Alba Berlin". If the Igokea win, the market will resolve to "Igokea". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alba Berlin; negative values favor Igokea. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlba Berlin · $0
6hAlba Berlin · $60
24hAlba Berlin · $60

Alba Berlin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alba Berlin price. Igokea fills are converted to the complementary Alba Berlin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current81.5¢
VWAP 24h79.4¢▲ above by 2.1pp
VWAP 7d79.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alba Berlin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
← now
$51
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$10
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.