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Pelicans vs. Mavericks

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $13.1KEvent: Pelicans vs. Mavericks
55.5¢
Pelicans
44.5¢
Mavericks
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly98Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:62 trades$510 trackedsource coverage 4%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$3
6h
−$6
tracked
$510

1 verified profitable wallet: Pelicans · $6 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-15 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans".

•If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 14 at 8:00PM ET: If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x99c7…de562 linked markets · $4 gross
0xbea6…f9152 linked markets · $3 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pelicans; negative values favor Mavericks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMavericks · $3
6hMavericks · $6
24hMavericks · $385

Pelicans price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pelicans price. Mavericks fills are converted to the complementary Pelicans probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current55.5¢
VWAP 24h48.5¢▲ above by 7.0pp
VWAP 7d48.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pelicans price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$15
50¢
$57
45¢
$438
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)
0.0¢$20priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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0.0¢$10priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pelicans vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5
0.0¢$4priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Mavericks (-0.5)
0.0¢$0priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pelicans vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.