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Pistons vs. Timberwolves

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $32.9KEvent: Pistons vs. Timberwolves
38.5¢
Pistons
61.5¢
Timberwolves
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets64Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:25 trades$9.4K trackedsource coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 189 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Timberwolves · $275 net·2 wallets·$288 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTimberwolves$2.0K@ 59¢·kuipinsima

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1.7K
tracked
$9.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: Timberwolves · $275 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 189 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-15 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons".

•If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 14 at 8:00PM ET: If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
iWasEnough2 linked markets · $21 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pistons; negative values favor Timberwolves. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPistons · $0
6hPistons · $1.7K
24hTimberwolves · $1.7K

Pistons price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pistons price. Timberwolves fills are converted to the complementary Pistons probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h43.1¢▼ below by 4.6pp
VWAP 7d43.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pistons price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$2.3K
40¢
$7.0K
35¢
← now
$62
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)
59.0¢$9.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5
0.0¢$0priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.