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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

Sports→Esports · ValorantSettlement: 100 ThievesLiquidity: $794.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $571.6KEvent: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
100.0¢
100 Thieves payout
0.0¢
Nongshim RedForce payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:188 trades$209.2K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:100 Thieves · $8.1K net·8 wallets·$10.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUY100 Thieves$50.8K@ 67¢·mbmbbbmbv

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome 100 Thieves. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-09 18:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against Nongshim RedForce.

•This market will resolve to "Nongshim RedForce" if Nongshim RedForce win the match against 100 Thieves.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Lower Bracket Round 1 match between 100 Thieves and Nongshim RedForce in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against Nongshim RedForce. This market will resolve to "Nongshim RedForce" if Nongshim RedForce win the match against 100 Thieves. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 9, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
FBIG2 linked markets · $29.2K gross
0xheavy8883 linked markets · $23.1K gross
fantasy77882 linked markets · $16.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY 100 Thieves3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY 100 Thieves@ 66.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp1h CONFIRMED +16.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY 100 Thieves@ 67.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h CONFIRMED +16.0pp
Latest book event: 100 Thieves UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $10.9K → $1.1K · 3s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 100 Thieves; negative values favor Nongshim RedForce. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h100 Thieves · $47.1K
6h100 Thieves · $142.1K
24h100 Thieves · $145.9K

100 Thieves price VWAP

Volume-weighted 100 Thieves price. Nongshim RedForce fills are converted to the complementary 100 Thieves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h73.0¢▲ above by 27.0pp
VWAP 7d73.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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100 Thieves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$41.9K
90¢
$4.0K
85¢
$6.0K
80¢
$6.5K
75¢
$22
70¢
$3.8K
65¢
$84.5K
60¢
$48.6K
55¢
$13.8K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUY100 Thieves$19.9K@ 97.0¢
AlanCurtis0x3fcc…9f91
🐋—36 minutes ago
BUY100 Thieves$10.0K@ 61.0¢
sssasp0x997c…51f3
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNongshim RedForce$12.0K@ 40.1¢
FBIG0xa22b…3525
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUY100 Thieves$50.8K@ 66.8¢
mbmbbbmbv0x8861…39f7
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUY100 Thieves$12.9K@ 64.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mbmbbbmbv100 Thieves$50.8K
BUY VWAP 66.8¢·1 fill
AlanCurtis100 Thieves$24.0K
BUY VWAP 97.5¢·2 fills
Lakersfan111100 Thieves$12.9K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
FBIGNongshim RedForce$12.0K
BUY VWAP 40.1¢·1 fill
sssasp100 Thieves$10.0K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.