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Olimpia Milano vs. BC Dubai

● quote 25s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: 8 minutesLiquidity: $118.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $114.3KEvent: Olimpia Milano vs. BC Dubai
46.5¢
Olimpia Milano
53.5¢
BC Dubai
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets2Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:34 trades$43.2K trackedsource coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 68 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Olimpia Milano · $461 net·3 wallets·$20.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOlimpia Milano$4.4K@ 46¢·spartachio

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$6.9K
tracked
$43.2K

3 verified profitable wallets: Olimpia Milano · $461 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 68 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-15 18:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/
Outcome meaning

•If the Olimpia Milano win, the market will resolve to "Olimpia Milano".

•If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to "BC Dubai".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for October 15 at 2:30PM ET: If the Olimpia Milano win, the market will resolve to "Olimpia Milano". If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to "BC Dubai". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $25.7K gross
VeryLucky8883 linked markets · $8.1K gross
iWasEnough2 linked markets · $53 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Olimpia Milano; negative values favor BC Dubai. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOlimpia Milano · $0
6hOlimpia Milano · $6.9K
24hOlimpia Milano · $6.9K

Olimpia Milano price VWAP

Volume-weighted Olimpia Milano price. BC Dubai fills are converted to the complementary Olimpia Milano probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current46.5¢
VWAP 24h45.2¢▲ above by 1.3pp
VWAP 7d45.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Olimpia Milano price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$29.0K
40¢
$14.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.