Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
2 verified profitable wallets: Rooster · $7 net over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 75% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Rooster" if Rooster win Map 1 against Orgless.
•This market will resolve to "Orgless" if Orgless win Map 1 against Rooster.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Rooster and Orgless in the ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rooster" if Rooster win Map 1 against Orgless. This market will resolve to "Orgless" if Orgless win Map 1 against Rooster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Rooster price VWAP
Largest holders
Rooster price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.