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Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Orgless - Map 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Orgless (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #3 Playoffs
100.0¢
Rooster
0.1¢
Orgless
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets36Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:4 trades$23 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 101 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Rooster · $7 net·2 wallets·$13 gross

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$2
tracked
$23

2 verified profitable wallets: Rooster · $7 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 101 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-12 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Rooster" if Rooster win Map 1 against Orgless.

•This market will resolve to "Orgless" if Orgless win Map 1 against Rooster.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Rooster and Orgless in the ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rooster" if Rooster win Map 1 against Orgless. This market will resolve to "Orgless" if Orgless win Map 1 against Rooster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
antec3 linked markets · $120 gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f2 linked markets · $52 gross
TommyLeePeeca2 linked markets · $24 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Orgless DOWN 8.0pp · near-book depth $7 → $29 · 27s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rooster; negative values favor Orgless. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRooster · $0
6hOrgless · $2
24hOrgless · $2

Rooster price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rooster price. Orgless fills are converted to the complementary Rooster probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h73.0¢▲ above by 27.0pp
VWAP 7d73.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rooster price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$9
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$2
65¢
$2
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$10
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.