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Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Esports · ValorantCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $119.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $82.9KEvent: Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
43.5¢
Team Vitality
56.5¢
LOUD
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:12 trades$41.3K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 100 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LOUD · $14.3K net·2 wallets·$14.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLOUD$29.2K@ 55¢·mbmbbbmbv

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$4.5K
tracked
$41.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: LOUD · $14.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 100 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-16 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against LOUD.

•This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against Team Vitality.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Upper Bracket Final match between Team Vitality and LOUD in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against LOUD. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against Team Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 16, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY LOUD@ 56.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Vitality; negative values favor LOUD. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Vitality · $0
6hLOUD · $4.5K
24hLOUD · $37.6K

Team Vitality price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Vitality price. LOUD fills are converted to the complementary Team Vitality probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current43.5¢
VWAP 24h44.3¢▼ below by 0.8pp
VWAP 7d44.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Vitality price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$11.8K
40¢
← now
$43.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLOUD$29.2K@ 55.5¢
mbmbbbmbv0x8861…39f7
🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
0.0¢$10priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mbmbbbmbvLOUD$29.2K
BUY VWAP 55.5¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cLOUD$11.3K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.