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Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

● quote 14s ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 21 hoursLiquidity: $79.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $23.8KEvent: Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A
75.5¢
Team Falcons
24.5¢
NIP
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly8Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$3.9K trackedsource coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 37 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Falcons$49.5K@ 80¢·Satanishippie

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$135
6h
+$3.2K
tracked
$3.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: Team Falcons · $3.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 37 minutes old.
  • •Less than 21h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-14 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against NIP.

•This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against Team Falcons.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Team Falcons and NIP in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against NIP. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Team Falcons@ 79.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h INVALIDATED -3.0pp24h INVALIDATED -3.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Falcons; negative values favor NIP. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Falcons · $135
6hTeam Falcons · $3.2K
24hTeam Falcons · $3.6K

Team Falcons price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Falcons price. NIP fills are converted to the complementary Team Falcons probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current75.5¢
VWAP 24h76.9¢▼ below by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d79.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Falcons price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
← now
$55.3K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Falcons$49.5K@ 79.8¢
Satanishippie0x89eb…cff9
🐋—1 day ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)
49.5¢$13.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP - Map 2 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
69.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SatanishippieTeam Falcons$49.5K
BUY VWAP 79.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.