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Wuhan Tennis Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Liudmila Samsonova

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $154.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $357.2KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Liudmila Samsonova
0.1¢
Katerina Siniakova
100.0¢
Liudmila Samsonova
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets77Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 16 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:215 trades$138.4K trackedsource coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Liudmila Samsonova · $68.8K net·16 wallets·$89.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLiudmila Samsonova$10.0K@ 91¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Katerina Siniakova pressure: $20.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$20.2K
6h
−$57.1K
tracked
$138.4K

16 verified profitable wallets: Liudmila Samsonova · $68.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: +8.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Katerina Siniakova or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Katerina Siniakova and Liudmila Samsonova in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Siniakova' if Katerina Siniakova advances against Liudmila Samsonova. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Katerina Siniakova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xd2f6…cbf32 linked markets · $148 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Liudmila Samsonova@ 92.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.9pp1h STALLED +1.5pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Liudmila Samsonova@ 92.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -15.0pp
MARKET SWEEPBUY Liudmila Samsonova@ 92.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -15.0pp
Latest book event: Liudmila Samsonova UP 8.0pp · near-book depth $21.3K → $3.6K · 21s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Katerina Siniakova; negative values favor Liudmila Samsonova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKaterina Siniakova · $20.2K
6hLiudmila Samsonova · $57.1K
24hLiudmila Samsonova · $57.1K

Katerina Siniakova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Katerina Siniakova price. Liudmila Samsonova fills are converted to the complementary Katerina Siniakova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h17.8¢▼ below by 17.8pp
VWAP 7d17.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Katerina Siniakova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.9K
50¢
$11.8K
45¢
$17.6K
40¢
$4.1K
35¢
$804
30¢
$284
25¢
$241
20¢
$1.4K
15¢
$37
10¢
$6.7K
5¢
$72.2K
0¢
← now
$21.4K

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Siniakova vs. Samsonova: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Siniakova vs. Samsonova: Match O/U 22.5
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseLiudmila Samsonova$43.6K
BUY VWAP 90.9¢·5 fills
UpTheBluesLiudmila Samsonova$22.7K
BUY VWAP 83.6¢·18 fills
0xb4f9…c9a7Katerina Siniakova$11.3K
BUY VWAP 45.6¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.