PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Wuhan Tennis Open: Hanyu Guo vs Sorana Cirstea

● quote 38 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $195.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $477.4KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Hanyu Guo vs Sorana Cirstea
99.9¢
Hanyu Guo
0.1¢
Sorana Cirstea
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets62Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:159 trades$143.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 47 min agoofficial metadata 41 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sorana Cirstea · $43.1K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$69.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSorana Cirstea$13.2K@ 89¢·luisterra

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$12
6h
−$66.0K
tracked
$143.3K

11 verified profitable wallets: Sorana Cirstea · $43.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 38 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 47 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 41 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hanyu Guo and Sorana Cirstea in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hanyu Guo' if Hanyu Guo advances against Sorana Cirstea. This market will resolve to 'Sorana Cirstea' if Sorana Cirstea advances against Hanyu Guo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
xcxrnbplus2 linked markets · $5.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Hanyu Guo UP 4.2pp · near-book depth $3.7K → $2.2K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hanyu Guo; negative values favor Sorana Cirstea. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSorana Cirstea · $12
6hSorana Cirstea · $66.0K
24hSorana Cirstea · $66.0K

Hanyu Guo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hanyu Guo price. Sorana Cirstea fills are converted to the complementary Hanyu Guo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h24.6¢▲ above by 75.3pp
VWAP 7d24.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Hanyu Guo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$8.7K
90¢
$3.6K
85¢
$0
80¢
$29
75¢
$1.0K
70¢
$5.3K
65¢
$247
60¢
$2.7K
55¢
$190
50¢
$8.1K
45¢
$4.5K
40¢
$11
35¢
$1.1K
30¢
$1.9K
25¢
$228
20¢
$3.4K
15¢
$1.2K
10¢
$34.4K
5¢
$36.8K
0¢
$29.7K

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSorana Cirstea$10.2K@ 97.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYSorana Cirstea$13.2K@ 89.0¢
luisterra0xf828…6129
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Guo vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Guo vs. Cirstea: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Guo vs. Cirstea: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Guo vs. Cirstea: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hanyu Guo vs. Sorana Cirstea: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Guo vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Guo vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Guo vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpSorana Cirstea$31.5K
BUY VWAP 92.7¢·11 fills
luisterraSorana Cirstea$13.2K
BUY VWAP 89.0¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesSorana Cirstea$10.8K
BUY VWAP 92.1¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.