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Wuhan Tennis Open: Lilli Tagger vs Nikola Bartunkova

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $216.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $107.9KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Lilli Tagger vs Nikola Bartunkova
46.5¢
Lilli Tagger
53.5¢
Nikola Bartunkova
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets88Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 82%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:84 trades$31.6K trackedsource coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lilli Tagger · $5.8K net·8 wallets·$9.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNikola Bartunkova$7.8K@ 52¢·Kkunn

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Nikola Bartunkova SETUP
What the tape says

Nikola Bartunkova pressure: $1.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.4K
6h
−$4.4K
tracked
$31.6K

8 verified profitable wallets: Lilli Tagger · $5.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 82% · priority 65

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Nikola Bartunkova or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Nikola Bartunkova in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Nikola Bartunkova. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Lilli Tagger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Lilli Tagger DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $39.8K → $9.0K · 56s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lilli Tagger; negative values favor Nikola Bartunkova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNikola Bartunkova · $1.4K
6hNikola Bartunkova · $4.4K
24hNikola Bartunkova · $1.8K

Lilli Tagger price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lilli Tagger price. Nikola Bartunkova fills are converted to the complementary Lilli Tagger probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current46.5¢
VWAP 24h38.6¢▲ above by 7.9pp
VWAP 7d38.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lilli Tagger price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$26
50¢
$209
45¢
← now
$13.2K
40¢
$3.0K
35¢
$2.4K
30¢
$6.5K
25¢
$6.0K
20¢
$151
15¢
$171
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Tagger vs. Bartunkova: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tagger vs. Bartunkova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tagger vs. Bartunkova: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wuhan Tennis Open: Completed Match: Lilli Tagger vs Nikola Bartunkova
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Lilli Tagger vs Nikola Bartunkova
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lilli Tagger vs. Nikola Bartunkova: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tagger vs. Bartunkova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Nikola Bartunkova (-4.5) vs Lilli Tagger (+4.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.