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Set Handicap: Diana Shnaider (-1.5) vs Katie Boulter (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Boulter vs Diana Shnaider
0.0¢
Diana Shnaider
0.0¢
Katie Boulter.
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly16Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:3 trades$276 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 748 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Diana Shnaider · $275 net·2 wallets·$275 gross

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$1
6h
+$276
tracked
$276

2 verified profitable wallets: Diana Shnaider · $275 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 29 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 748 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Diana Shnaider" if Diana Shnaider wins by 2 or more sets than Katie Boulter, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Katie Boulter."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Diana Shnaider can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Katie Boulter."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Diana Shnaider and Katie Boulter in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Diana Shnaider" if Diana Shnaider wins by 2 or more sets than Katie Boulter, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Katie Boulter." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Diana Shnaider can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Katie Boulter." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Diana Shnaider; negative values favor Katie Boulter.. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDiana Shnaider · $1
6hDiana Shnaider · $276
24hDiana Shnaider · $276

Diana Shnaider price VWAP

Volume-weighted Diana Shnaider price. Katie Boulter. fills are converted to the complementary Diana Shnaider probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h56.0¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d56.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Diana Shnaider price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$276
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Boulter vs Diana Shnaider
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Set 1 Winner: Katie Boulter vs Diana Shnaider
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Boulter vs. Shnaider: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.