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Jinan: Pavel Kotov vs Vit Kopriva

● quote 2 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $93.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $105.0KEvent: Jinan: Pavel Kotov vs Vit Kopriva
0.0¢
Pavel Kotov
99.9¢
Vit Kopriva
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets98Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution29Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:41 trades$52.3K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 70 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Vit Kopriva · $32.3K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$33.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVit Kopriva$17.5K@ 97¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$33.0K
tracked
$52.3K

6 verified profitable wallets: Vit Kopriva · $32.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 70 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Kotov and Vit Kopriva in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Vit Kopriva. This market will resolve to 'Vit Kopriva' if Vit Kopriva advances against Pavel Kotov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x78b3…65a12 linked markets · $10 gross
0x5d63…90752 linked markets · $5 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pavel Kotov; negative values favor Vit Kopriva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPavel Kotov · $0
6hVit Kopriva · $33.0K
24hVit Kopriva · $33.0K

Pavel Kotov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pavel Kotov price. Vit Kopriva fills are converted to the complementary Pavel Kotov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h5.2¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d5.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pavel Kotov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$123
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$377
35¢
$0
30¢
$1
25¢
$0
20¢
$6.0K
15¢
$27
10¢
$1.1K
5¢
$0
0¢
$44.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYVit Kopriva$15.1K@ 98.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYVit Kopriva$17.5K@ 97.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Kotov vs. Kopriva: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kotov vs. Kopriva: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kotov vs. Kopriva: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kotov vs. Kopriva: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pavel Kotov vs. Vit Kopriva: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Pavel Kotov vs Vit Kopriva
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kotov vs. Kopriva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kotov vs. Kopriva: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cVit Kopriva$32.6K
BUY VWAP 97.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.