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Rovereto: Laura Mair vs Lucrezia Stefanini

Sports→TennisSettlement: Lucrezia StefaniniLiquidity: $686.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $293.5KEvent: Rovereto: Laura Mair vs Lucrezia Stefanini
0.0¢
Laura Mair payout
100.0¢
Lucrezia Stefanini payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:97 trades$128.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 76 min agoofficial metadata 50 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Laura Mair · $548 net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$97.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLucrezia Stefanini$17.9K@ 80¢·fkcvffcjt

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lucrezia Stefanini. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-19 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Mair and Lucrezia Stefanini in the Rovereto, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laura Mair' if Laura Mair advances against Lucrezia Stefanini. This market will resolve to 'Lucrezia Stefanini' if Lucrezia Stefanini advances against Laura Mair. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 51m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 51m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x78b3…65a12 linked markets · $3 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Lucrezia Stefanini@ 93.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Lucrezia Stefanini@ 87.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Lucrezia Stefanini UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $71.2K → $31.2K · 32s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Laura Mair; negative values favor Lucrezia Stefanini. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLaura Mair · $16.0K
6hLaura Mair · $11.1K
24hLaura Mair · $9.3K

Laura Mair price VWAP

Volume-weighted Laura Mair price. Lucrezia Stefanini fills are converted to the complementary Laura Mair probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h30.6¢▼ below by 30.6pp
VWAP 7d30.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Laura Mair price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$45.3K
45¢
$6.0K
40¢
$23
35¢
$2.0K
30¢
$3.5K
25¢
$2.3K
20¢
$31.7K
15¢
$13.3K
10¢
$16.2K
5¢
$3.3K
0¢
← now
$6.8K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLucrezia Stefanini$17.9K@ 80.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLLucrezia Stefanini$10.1K@ 83.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLLucrezia Stefanini$10.9K@ 76.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLucrezia Stefanini$10.4K@ 48.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtLucrezia Stefanini$39.7K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.