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Maia: Tiago Pereira vs Luka Mikrut

Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Maia: Tiago Pereira vs Luka Mikrut
0.0¢
Tiago Pereira
0.0¢
Luka Mikrut
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection94Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:38 trades$9.6K trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Luka Mikrut · $8.8K net·8 wallets·$8.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLuka Mikrut$7.8K@ 98¢·UpTheBlues

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Luka Mikrut pressure: $9.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$9.0K
6h
−$8.5K
tracked
$9.6K

8 verified profitable wallets: Luka Mikrut · $8.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 24 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Luka Mikrut or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Pereira and Luka Mikrut in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Pereira' if Tiago Pereira advances against Luka Mikrut. This market will resolve to 'Luka Mikrut' if Luka Mikrut advances against Tiago Pereira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tiago Pereira; negative values favor Luka Mikrut. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLuka Mikrut · $9.0K
6hLuka Mikrut · $8.5K
24hLuka Mikrut · $8.5K

Tiago Pereira price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tiago Pereira price. Luka Mikrut fills are converted to the complementary Tiago Pereira probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h2.1¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d2.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tiago Pereira price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$555
0¢
$9.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Luka Mikrut (-1.5) vs Tiago Pereira (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pereira vs. Mikrut: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pereira vs. Mikrut: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Tiago Pereira vs Luka Mikrut
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pereira vs. Mikrut: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pereira vs. Mikrut: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tiago Pereira vs. Luka Mikrut: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Luka Mikrut (-4.5) vs Tiago Pereira (+4.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.