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Roanne: Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Jade

● quote 26 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $108.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $76.0KEvent: Roanne: Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Jade
99.9¢
Hugo Gaston
0.5¢
Daniel Jade
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:27 trades$12.7K trackedsource coverage 17%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 75 min agoofficial metadata 26 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hugo Gaston · $2.3K net·5 wallets·$2.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDaniel Jade$2.9K@ 19¢·Starlord2

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1.7K
tracked
$12.7K

5 verified profitable wallets: Hugo Gaston · $2.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 26 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 75 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Daniel Jade in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Daniel Jade. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Jade' if Daniel Jade advances against Hugo Gaston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hugo Gaston; negative values favor Daniel Jade. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHugo Gaston · $0
6hHugo Gaston · $1.7K
24hHugo Gaston · $1.7K

Hugo Gaston price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hugo Gaston price. Daniel Jade fills are converted to the complementary Hugo Gaston probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h86.1¢▲ above by 13.8pp
VWAP 7d86.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hugo Gaston price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.2K
90¢
$2.7K
85¢
$90
80¢
$8.7K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Gaston vs. Jade: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Hugo Gaston (-4.5) vs Daniel Jade (+4.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gaston vs. Jade: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Hugo Gaston (-1.5) vs Daniel Jade (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gaston vs. Jade: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gaston vs. Jade: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Jade
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gaston vs. Jade: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.