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Roanne: Moise Kouame vs Diego Dedura-Palomero

● quote 68 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $56.8KEvent: Roanne: Moise Kouame vs Diego Dedura-Palomero
100.0¢
Moise Kouame
0.1¢
Diego Dedura-Palomero
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets63Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:63 trades$11.0K trackedsource coverage 19%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 85 min agoofficial metadata 55 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Moise Kouame · $1.1K net·4 wallets·$1.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMoise Kouame$1.5K@ 99¢·n1ck10s

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1.1K
tracked
$11.0K

4 verified profitable wallets: Moise Kouame · $1.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 68 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 85 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 55 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Moise Kouame and Diego Dedura-Palomero in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moise Kouame' if Moise Kouame advances against Diego Dedura-Palomero. This market will resolve to 'Diego Dedura-Palomero' if Diego Dedura-Palomero advances against Moise Kouame. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Moise Kouame; negative values favor Diego Dedura-Palomero. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMoise Kouame · $0
6hMoise Kouame · $1.1K
24hMoise Kouame · $1.1K

Moise Kouame price VWAP

Volume-weighted Moise Kouame price. Diego Dedura-Palomero fills are converted to the complementary Moise Kouame probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h88.8¢▲ above by 11.2pp
VWAP 7d88.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Moise Kouame price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$4.7K
90¢
$345
85¢
$3.3K
80¢
$86
75¢
$0
70¢
$2.5K
65¢
$3
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.