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Santa Cruz 2: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Juan Estevez

● quote 10s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $106.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $72.3KEvent: Santa Cruz 2: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Juan Estevez
100.0¢
Rodrigo Pacheco
0.1¢
Juan Estevez
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets98Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:75 trades$26.8K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Rodrigo Pacheco · $9.3K net·7 wallets·$9.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRodrigo Pacheco$12.6K@ 87¢·0xca4e…f97e

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Rodrigo Pacheco pressure: $6.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.1K
6h
+$22.4K
tracked
$26.8K

7 verified profitable wallets: Rodrigo Pacheco · $9.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Rodrigo Pacheco or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Pacheco and Juan Estevez in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Pacheco' if Rodrigo Pacheco advances against Juan Estevez. This market will resolve to 'Juan Estevez' if Juan Estevez advances against Rodrigo Pacheco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Rodrigo Pacheco UP 8.4pp · near-book depth $45 → $23.1K · 23s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rodrigo Pacheco; negative values favor Juan Estevez. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRodrigo Pacheco · $6.1K
6hRodrigo Pacheco · $22.4K
24hRodrigo Pacheco · $22.4K

Rodrigo Pacheco price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rodrigo Pacheco price. Juan Estevez fills are converted to the complementary Rodrigo Pacheco probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h83.6¢▲ above by 16.4pp
VWAP 7d83.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rodrigo Pacheco price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.3K
90¢
$5.9K
85¢
$12.6K
80¢
$550
75¢
$630
70¢
$11
65¢
$4.6K
60¢
$10
55¢
$1.3K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRodrigo Pacheco$12.6K@ 87.0¢0xca4e…f97e🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xca4e…f97eRodrigo Pacheco$12.6K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.