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Wuhan Tennis Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Katie Volynets

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $800.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $381.8KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Katie Volynets
0.1¢
Kimberly Birrell
100.0¢
Katie Volynets
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:252 trades$137.9K trackedsource coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 33s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Katie Volynets · $3.6K net·13 wallets·$46.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLKatie Volynets$9.6K@ 73¢·0xbfa8…a27d

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Kimberly Birrell pressure: $1.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.7K
6h
+$10.4K
tracked
$137.9K

13 verified profitable wallets: Katie Volynets · $3.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Kimberly Birrell or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kimberly Birrell and Katie Volynets in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kimberly Birrell' if Kimberly Birrell advances against Katie Volynets. This market will resolve to 'Katie Volynets' if Katie Volynets advances against Kimberly Birrell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $352 gross
0xd2f6…cbf32 linked markets · $102 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Kimberly Birrell DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.8K → $432 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kimberly Birrell; negative values favor Katie Volynets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKimberly Birrell · $1.7K
6hKimberly Birrell · $10.4K
24hKimberly Birrell · $10.6K

Kimberly Birrell price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kimberly Birrell price. Katie Volynets fills are converted to the complementary Kimberly Birrell probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h34.7¢▼ below by 34.7pp
VWAP 7d34.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kimberly Birrell price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$2.2K
90¢
$19
85¢
$20
80¢
$44
75¢
$2.7K
70¢
$8.3K
65¢
$8.5K
60¢
$3.7K
55¢
$131
50¢
$10.1K
45¢
$10.7K
40¢
$6.6K
35¢
$19.7K
30¢
$26
25¢
$10.7K
20¢
$25.6K
15¢
$228
10¢
$21
5¢
$3.4K
0¢
← now
$25.2K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Kimberly Birrell (-1.5) vs Katie Volynets (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Birrell vs. Volynets: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Birrell vs. Volynets: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Birrell vs. Volynets: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Kimberly Birrell vs Katie Volynets
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Birrell vs. Volynets: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kimberly Birrell vs. Katie Volynets: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Katie Volynets (-2.5) vs Kimberly Birrell (+2.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesKatie Volynets$12.1K
BUY VWAP 74.4¢·12 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.