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Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays

● quote just now
Sports→BaseballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $47.3KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
44.5¢
Cleveland Guardians
55.5¢
Tampa Bay Rays
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%
24h sample:31 trades$14.8K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 28 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTampa Bay Rays$2.9K@ 56¢·0x4c07…6200

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Tampa Bay Rays pressure: $1.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.3K
6h
−$954
tracked
$14.8K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 28 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Tampa Bay Rays or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 13 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $2.6K gross
iWasEnough2 linked markets · $19 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cleveland Guardians; negative values favor Tampa Bay Rays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTampa Bay Rays · $1.3K
6hTampa Bay Rays · $954
24hCleveland Guardians · $883

Cleveland Guardians price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cleveland Guardians price. Tampa Bay Rays fills are converted to the complementary Cleveland Guardians probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.5¢
VWAP 24h43.4¢▲ above by 1.1pp
VWAP 7d43.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cleveland Guardians price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$4.8K
40¢
← now
$8.5K
35¢
$1.7K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5
52.5¢$21.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
36.5¢$7.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
41.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.